AFL
PProjectPunt
Connor Macdonald
Connor Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
9.5 HBO U
Hit rate
28% (5/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.3
L5
12.8
L10
10.3
High
20
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7GWSMar 079ESSMar 135SYDMar 198GEEApr 068WBDApr 115PORApr 189GCSApr 2513COLApr 306FREMay 078MELMay 165ADEMay 2113STKMay 287WBDJun 0513GCSJun 198GWSJun 267MELJul 0416CARJul 1120RICJul 19?ESSJul 259.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Connor22.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Connor12.7
ESS232.6
Marks
Connor4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Connor3.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Connor2.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Connor4.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Connor7.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Connor0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.8.0(30)+1.2
Everywhere else6.8(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.5(8)-1.0
Dry games7.5(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.