AFL
PProjectPunt
Connor Macdonald
Connor Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GLO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.8
L10
0.7
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMar 072ESSMar 130SYDMar 190GEEApr 061WBDApr 110PORApr 181GCSApr 253COLApr 300FREMay 071MELMay 160ADEMay 211STKMay 281WBDJun 052GCSJun 191GWSJun 261MELJul 040CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Connor22.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Connor12.7
ESS232.6
Marks
Connor4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Connor3.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Connor2.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Connor4.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Connor7.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Connor0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.0.9(30)-0.2
Everywhere else1.0(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(8)+0.1
Dry games0.9(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.