AFL
PProjectPunt
Mitch Lewis
Mitch Lewis
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 HBO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.3
L5
3.8
L10
4.4
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 073ESSMar 135SYDMar 194GEEApr 066WBDApr 114PORApr 181GCSApr 257COLApr 308FREMay 071MELMay 164ADEMay 217STKMay 285WBDJun 050GCSJun 193GWSJun 266MELJul 048CARJul 112RICJul 19?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mitch12.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mitch8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Mitch5.4
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mitch1.6
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mitch0.3
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mitch2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mitch4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Mitch1.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.3.8(16)+0.3
Everywhere else3.5(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(4)+0.7
Dry games3.5(26)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.