AFL
PProjectPunt
Mitch Lewis
Mitch Lewis
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
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Avg
0.6
L5
0.8
L10
0.8
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMar 071ESSMar 130SYDMar 191GEEApr 061WBDApr 110PORApr 180GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 071MELMay 160ADEMay 211STKMay 282WBDJun 051GCSJun 190GWSJun 261MELJul 042CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mitch12.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mitch8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Mitch5.4
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mitch1.6
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mitch0.3
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mitch2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mitch4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Mitch1.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.6(16)+0.1
Everywhere else0.4(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(4)+0.3
Dry games0.5(26)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.