Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Mitch Lewis

Hawthorn · vs NOR

12.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

12.7

12.8

L10

12.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mitchvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

12.7Disposals340.7

8.4Kicks197.6

5.4Marks90.7

1.6Tackles54.6

0.3Clearances33.9

2.6Inside 50s52.3

4.9Contested Poss.119.2

1.7Goals13.4

Disposals

Mitch12.7

NOR340.7

Kicks

Mitch8.4

NOR197.6

Marks

Mitch5.4

NOR90.7

Tackles

Mitch1.6

NOR54.6

Clearances

Mitch0.3

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Mitch2.6

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Mitch4.9

NOR119.2

Goals

Mitch1.7

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Disposals

340.7per game · league avg 369.3

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At York Park11.6(14)+1.1

Everywhere else10.6(80)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)11.6(11)+1.0

Dry games10.6(83)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.