AFL
PProjectPunt
Blake Hardwick
Blake Hardwick
Hawthorn · vs ESS
6.5 MKO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.1
L5
7.2
L10
6.4
High
11
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 0711ESSMar 135SYDMar 193GEEApr 0610WBDApr 118PORApr 184GCSApr 253COLApr 304FREMay 076MELMay 166ADEMay 219STKMay 283WBDJun 053GCSJun 1910GWSJun 269MELJul 045CARJul 119RICJul 19?ESSJul 256.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Blake17.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Blake12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Blake6.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Blake2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Blake0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Blake1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Blake4.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Blake0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.5.3(30)+0.6
Everywhere else4.8(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.9(8)-0.2
Dry games5.0(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.