Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Blake Hardwick

Hawthorn · vs NOR

12.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.3

15.6

L10

12.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Blakevs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

17.4Disposals340.7

12.3Kicks197.6

6.1Marks90.7

2.4Tackles54.6

0.4Clearances33.9

1.2Inside 50s52.3

4.3Contested Poss.119.2

0.5Goals13.4

Disposals

Blake17.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Blake12.3

NOR197.6

Marks

Blake6.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Blake2.4

NOR54.6

Clearances

Blake0.4

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Blake1.2

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Blake4.3

NOR119.2

Goals

Blake0.5

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Kicks

197.6per game · league avg 213.8

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At York Park13.3(28)+1.8

Everywhere else11.5(144)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)12.6(18)+1.0

Dry games11.7(154)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.