AFL
PProjectPunt
Blake Hardwick
Blake Hardwick
Hawthorn · vs ESS
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.1
L5
4.4
L10
4.4
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6GWSMar 078ESSMar 132SYDMar 193GEEApr 066WBDApr 117PORApr 186GCSApr 2510COLApr 303FREMay 078MELMay 164ADEMay 216STKMay 281WBDJun 051GCSJun 194GWSJun 266MELJul 044CARJul 117RICJul 19?ESSJul 255.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Blake17.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Blake12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Blake6.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Blake2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Blake0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Blake1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Blake4.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Blake0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.5.2(30)+0.5
Everywhere else4.7(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.9(8)
Dry games4.9(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.