AFL
PProjectPunt
Blake Hardwick
Blake Hardwick
Hawthorn · vs ESS
17.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
17.4
L5
20.0
L10
16.9
High
25
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12GWSMar 0721ESSMar 1315SYDMar 1915GEEApr 0625WBDApr 1119PORApr 1822GCSApr 2515COLApr 3012FREMay 0719MELMay 1614ADEMay 2117STKMay 287WBDJun 059GCSJun 1920GWSJun 2625MELJul 0425CARJul 1121RICJul 19?ESSJul 2517.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.5°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Blake17.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Blake12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Blake6.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Blake2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Blake0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Blake1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Blake4.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Blake0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.16.0(30)+0.9
Everywhere else15.1(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)17.5(8)+2.3
Dry games15.2(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.