Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Gunston

Hawthorn · vs NOR

2.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

25% (3/12)

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Avg

2.1

1.8

L10

2.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

11.2Disposals340.7

9.1Kicks197.6

5.8Marks90.7

0.8Tackles54.6

0.2Clearances33.9

1.4Inside 50s52.3

3.7Contested Poss.119.2

3.3Goals13.4

Disposals

Jack11.2

NOR340.7

Kicks

Jack9.1

NOR197.6

Marks

Jack5.8

NOR90.7

Tackles

Jack0.8

NOR54.6

Clearances

Jack0.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Jack1.4

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Jack3.7

NOR119.2

Goals

Jack3.3

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At York Park2.9(15)

Everywhere else3.0(91)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(14)+0.2

Dry games2.9(92)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.