AFL
PProjectPunt
Jack Ginnivan
Jack Ginnivan
Hawthorn · vs ESS
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.4
L5
3.4
L10
4.4
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6GWSMar 079ESSMar 134SYDMar 197GEEApr 069WBDApr 115PORApr 187GCSApr 256COLApr 305FREMay 077MELMay 161ADEMay 218STKMay 286WBDJun 050GCSJun 196GWSJun 265MELJul 043CARJul 113RICJul 19?ESSJul 255.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jack19.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jack12.2
ESS232.6
Marks
Jack5.4
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jack2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jack1.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jack4.3
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jack5.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Jack1.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.8(29)+1.1
Everywhere else3.7(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.4(7)-0.8
Dry games4.3(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.