AFL
PProjectPunt
Jack Ginnivan
Jack Ginnivan
Hawthorn · vs ESS
7.5 HBO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.3
L5
8.6
L10
7.7
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5GWSMar 076ESSMar 1310SYDMar 194GEEApr 069WBDApr 115PORApr 184GCSApr 2512COLApr 303FREMay 077MELMay 164ADEMay 218STKMay 2812WBDJun 0511GCSJun 199GWSJun 263MELJul 0413CARJul 117RICJul 19?ESSJul 257.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jack19.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jack12.2
ESS232.6
Marks
Jack5.4
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jack2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jack1.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jack4.3
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jack5.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Jack1.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.8.0(29)+1.2
Everywhere else6.8(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)8.1(7)+0.9
Dry games7.2(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.