AFL
PProjectPunt
Calsher Dear
Calsher Dear
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 HBO U
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.6
L5
3.6
L10
3.6
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5PORApr 184GCSApr 254COLApr 301MELMay 164GWSJun 26?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Calsher9.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Calsher5.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Calsher3.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Calsher2.6
ESS50.5
Clearances
Calsher0.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Calsher1.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Calsher4.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Calsher0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.3.1(12)-0.1
Everywhere else3.2(19)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(3)+0.2
Dry games3.1(28)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.