HAW
Will Day
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.5
L5
3.6
L10
3.5
High
5
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly22.5Disposals398.8
12.3Kicks232.6
3.5Marks116.9
5.0Tackles50.5
5.2Clearances33.3
5.0Inside 50s55.1
9.5Contested poss.121.4
0.7Goals15.0
Disposals
Will22.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Will12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Will3.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Will5.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Will5.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Will5.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Will9.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Will0.7
ESS15.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Marks
116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Marks
At M.C.G.2.6(12)-0.6
Everywhere else3.2(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Marks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(3)-1.0
Dry games3.0(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.