AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Will Day
Hawthorn · vs ESS
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.0
L10
1.3
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3STKMay 281WBDJun 051GCSJun 192GWSJun 261MELJul 040CARJul 11?ESSJul 251.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Will22.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Will12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Will3.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Will5.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Will5.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Will5.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Will9.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Will0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.1(12)-0.5
Everywhere else1.6(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(3)-0.4
Dry games1.4(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.