AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Will Day
Hawthorn · vs ESS
22.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.5
L5
23.4
L10
22.5
High
27
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
18STKMay 2825WBDJun 0521GCSJun 1927GWSJun 2620MELJul 0424CARJul 11?ESSJul 2522.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.5°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Will22.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Will12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Will3.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Will5.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Will5.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Will5.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Will9.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Will0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.18.9(12)-2.5
Everywhere else21.4(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)25.3(3)+5.6
Dry games19.8(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.