AFL
PProjectPunt
Mabior Chol
Mabior Chol
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.5
L5
4.6
L10
4.4
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 079ESSMar 132SYDMar 196GEEApr 060WBDApr 113ADEMay 215STKMay 287WBDJun 053GCSJun 196GWSJun 267MELJul 045CARJul 112RICJul 19?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mabior10.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mabior8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Mabior4.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mabior2.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mabior1.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mabior2.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mabior5.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Mabior1.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.3(27)+0.6
Everywhere else3.7(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(7)-0.9
Dry games4.1(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.