AFL
PProjectPunt
Mabior Chol
Mabior Chol
Hawthorn · vs ESS
10.5 DIO U
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.0
L5
11.6
L10
10.1
High
17
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9GWSMar 0714ESSMar 136SYDMar 1912GEEApr 061WBDApr 118ADEMay 2110STKMay 2812WBDJun 058GCSJun 199GWSJun 2617MELJul 0416CARJul 118RICJul 19?ESSJul 2510.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mabior10.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mabior8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Mabior4.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mabior2.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mabior1.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mabior2.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mabior5.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Mabior1.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.10.1(27)+0.8
Everywhere else9.4(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(7)+1.9
Dry games9.5(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.