AFL
PProjectPunt
Jesse Hogan
Jesse Hogan
Greater Western Sydney · vs SYD
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
0.8
L10
0.7
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1HAWMar 071WBDMar 140STKMar 210COLMar 272RICApr 121NORApr 260GCSMay 030STKJun 141CARJun 20?SYDJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs SYD
Game conditionsSydney Showground · SydneyRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:3516°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jesse9.0
SYD365.6
Kicks
Jesse6.2
SYD210.9
Marks
Jesse4.4
SYD80.8
Tackles
Jesse0.9
SYD54.6
Clearances
Jesse0.1
SYD38.8
Inside 50s
Jesse1.6
SYD55.2
Contested poss.
Jesse3.6
SYD139.3
Goals
Jesse1.3
SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Frees For

20.2per game · league avg 19.0
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Sydney Showground1.2(19)+0.4
Everywhere else0.8(31)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)+0.1
Dry games0.9(49)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.