Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Izak Rankine

Adelaide · @ ESS

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

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Avg

3.9

3.6

L10

4.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Izakvs all playersStatESS concedePer game

21.4Disposals398.8

12.8Kicks232.6

3.5Marks116.9

3.9Tackles50.5

3.9Clearances33.3

4.3Inside 50s55.1

9.8Contested Poss.121.4

0.9Goals15.0

Disposals

Izak21.4

ESS398.8

Kicks

Izak12.8

ESS232.6

Marks

Izak3.5

ESS116.9

Tackles

Izak3.9

ESS50.5

Clearances

Izak3.9

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Izak4.3

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Izak9.8

ESS121.4

Goals

Izak0.9

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.7(3)+0.2

Everywhere else3.5(69)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(8)-0.4

Dry games3.5(64)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.