Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Toby Greene

Greater Western Sydney · @ POR

1.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

1.6

2.0

L10

2.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ POR

Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 21 · 2026-08-01 18:35☁ 9.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 8.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tobyvs all playersStatPOR concedePer game

21.1Disposals361.6

14.3Kicks207.9

3.7Marks92.1

2.6Tackles59.0

3.4Clearances32.3

5.7Inside 50s49.4

9.1Contested Poss.127.2

1.6Goals11.7

Disposals

Toby21.1

POR361.6

Kicks

Toby14.3

POR207.9

Marks

Toby3.7

POR92.1

Tackles

Toby2.6

POR59.0

Clearances

Toby3.4

POR32.3

Inside 50s

Toby5.7

POR49.4

Contested Poss.

Toby9.1

POR127.2

Goals

Toby1.6

POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Goals

11.7per game · league avg 12.7

#14 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At Adelaide Oval1.7(10)-0.3

Everywhere else2.0(143)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(8)-0.7

Dry games2.0(145)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.