Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Toby Greene

Greater Western Sydney · @ POR

21.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

21.1

20.8

L10

19.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ POR

Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 21 · 2026-08-01 18:35☁ 9.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 8.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tobyvs all playersStatPOR concedePer game

21.1Disposals361.6

14.3Kicks207.9

3.7Marks92.1

2.6Tackles59.0

3.4Clearances32.3

5.7Inside 50s49.4

9.1Contested Poss.127.2

1.6Goals11.7

Disposals

Toby21.1

POR361.6

Kicks

Toby14.3

POR207.9

Marks

Toby3.7

POR92.1

Tackles

Toby2.6

POR59.0

Clearances

Toby3.4

POR32.3

Inside 50s

Toby5.7

POR49.4

Contested Poss.

Toby9.1

POR127.2

Goals

Toby1.6

POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Disposals

361.6per game · league avg 369.3

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Disposals

At Adelaide Oval18.4(10)+0.7

Everywhere else17.7(143)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)19.3(8)+1.6

Dry games17.6(145)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.