Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Jarrod Witts

Gold Coast · vs MEL

1.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

42% (5/12)

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Avg

1.5

1.6

L10

1.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jarrodvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

10.6Disposals382.0

5.5Kicks220.8

1.5Marks101.2

1.9Tackles51.0

3.8Clearances35.6

1.8Inside 50s52.3

7.6Contested Poss.129.3

0.2Goals13.1

Disposals

Jarrod10.6

MEL382.0

Kicks

Jarrod5.5

MEL220.8

Marks

Jarrod1.5

MEL101.2

Tackles

Jarrod1.9

MEL51.0

Clearances

Jarrod3.8

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Jarrod1.8

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Jarrod7.6

MEL129.3

Goals

Jarrod0.2

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Carrara2.4(59)+0.2

Everywhere else2.2(78)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(9)-0.3

Dry games2.3(128)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.