Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

GCS

Jed Walter

Gold Coast · vs MEL

5.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

38% (5/13)

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Avg

5.3

4.8

L10

4.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jedvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

7.8Disposals382.0

5.3Kicks220.8

3.1Marks101.2

1.0Tackles51.0

0.1Clearances35.6

1.4Inside 50s52.3

4.0Contested Poss.129.3

1.8Goals13.1

Disposals

Jed7.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Jed5.3

MEL220.8

Marks

Jed3.1

MEL101.2

Tackles

Jed1.0

MEL51.0

Clearances

Jed0.1

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Jed1.4

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Jed4.0

MEL129.3

Goals

Jed1.8

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Kicks

220.8per game · league avg 213.8

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Carrara4.9(15)+0.9

Everywhere else4.0(28)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(3)-0.3

Dry games4.3(40)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.