Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

GCS

Jed Walter

Gold Coast · vs MEL

7.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

62% (8/13)

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Avg

7.8

7.2

L10

7.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jedvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

7.8Disposals382.0

5.3Kicks220.8

3.1Marks101.2

1.0Tackles51.0

0.1Clearances35.6

1.4Inside 50s52.3

4.0Contested Poss.129.3

1.8Goals13.1

Disposals

Jed7.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Jed5.3

MEL220.8

Marks

Jed3.1

MEL101.2

Tackles

Jed1.0

MEL51.0

Clearances

Jed0.1

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Jed1.4

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Jed4.0

MEL129.3

Goals

Jed1.8

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara6.8(15)-0.1

Everywhere else6.9(28)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)7.7(3)+0.9

Dry games6.8(40)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.