P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GLO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
1.4
L10
0.8
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 140WBDMar 200GEEMar 260FREApr 030STKApr 183BRIApr 261PORMay 011RICMay 100NORMay 16☂2WBDJun 11?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke5.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke3.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands1.3(3)+0.3
Everywhere else1.0(44)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(6)+0.4
Dry games1.0(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.