P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 FFO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.8
L10
0.8
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0COLMar 141WBDMar 200GEEMar 261FREApr 032STKApr 181BRIApr 260PORMay 010RICMay 103NORMay 16☂0WBDJun 11?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke5.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke3.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.3(3)-0.7
Everywhere else1.0(44)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)2.3(6)+1.5
Dry games0.8(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.