P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · @ ESS
9.5 DIO U
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.5
L5
10.6
L10
9.5
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7COLMar 147WBDMar 207GEEMar 268FREApr 0313STKApr 1813BRIApr 2612PORMay 018RICMay 1016NORMay 164WBDJun 11?ESSAug 029.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke5.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke3.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands6.0(3)-3.9
Everywhere else9.9(44)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)9.2(6)-0.6
Dry games9.7(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.