AFL
PProjectPunt
Matt Rowell
Matt Rowell
Gold Coast · @ CAR
2.5 FFO U
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.2
L5
2.2
L10
2.4
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0MELApr 052SYDApr 113ESSApr 183HAWApr 252PORMay 155NORMay 231BRIJun 062GEEJun 120HAWJun 192FREJun 281COLJul 042ADEJul 116WBDJul 19?CARJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Matt24.4
CAR363.6
Kicks
Matt11.5
CAR210.2
Marks
Matt2.2
CAR89.8
Tackles
Matt6.2
CAR59.8
Clearances
Matt6.4
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Matt3.7
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Matt12.5
CAR127.7
Goals
Matt0.2
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands2.2(9)
Everywhere else2.3(52)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(3)-0.3
Dry games2.3(58)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.