P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Jake Rogers
Jake Rogers
Gold Coast · vs MEL
1.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.4
L5
1.4
L10
1.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2WCEMar 152RICMar 210MELApr 052ESSApr 181HAWApr 25?MELAug 021.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jake9.8
MEL382.0
Kicks
Jake4.2
MEL220.8
Marks
Jake1.4
MEL101.2
Tackles
Jake2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Jake0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Jake1.4
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Jake4.2
MEL129.3
Goals
Jake0.6
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Carrara1.4(7)+0.4
Everywhere else1.1(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.2
Dry games1.2(22)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.