Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Wil Powell

Gold Coast · vs MEL

10.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

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Avg

10.7

11.4

L10

11.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Wilvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

17.8Disposals382.0

10.7Kicks220.8

5.1Marks101.2

3.7Tackles51.0

1.1Clearances35.6

2.5Inside 50s52.3

5.1Contested Poss.129.3

0.3Goals13.1

Disposals

Wil17.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Wil10.7

MEL220.8

Marks

Wil5.1

MEL101.2

Tackles

Wil3.7

MEL51.0

Clearances

Wil1.1

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Wil2.5

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Wil5.1

MEL129.3

Goals

Wil0.3

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Kicks

220.8per game · league avg 213.8

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Carrara11.0(57)+0.5

Everywhere else10.5(82)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)9.1(8)-1.7

Dry games10.8(131)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.