AFL
PProjectPunt
GCS
Ned Moyle
Gold Coast · @ CAR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.4
L10
1.4
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMay 033STKMay 091PORMay 150NORMay 232BRIJun 061GEEJun 120HAWJun 192FREJun 282COLJul 042ADEJul 111WBDJul 19?CARJul 251.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned10.2
CAR363.6
Kicks
Ned5.2
CAR210.2
Marks
Ned2.2
CAR89.8
Tackles
Ned2.0
CAR59.8
Clearances
Ned2.4
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Ned2.4
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Ned6.8
CAR127.7
Goals
Ned0.4
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.3(4)-0.1
Everywhere else1.3(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+0.7
Dry games1.3(21)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.