P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
GCS
Ned Moyle
Gold Coast · vs MEL
10.5 DIO U
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.2
L5
9.6
L10
10.4
High
14
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GWSMay 0311STKMay 0914PORMay 158NORMay 239BRIJun 0614GEEJun 127HAWJun 193FREJun 2814COLJul 0413ADEJul 1111WBDJul 19?MELAug 0210.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:1516.5°C1.5mm (30%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned10.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Ned5.2
MEL220.8
Marks
Ned2.2
MEL101.2
Tackles
Ned2.0
MEL51.0
Clearances
Ned2.4
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Ned2.4
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Ned6.8
MEL129.3
Goals
Ned0.4
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara9.7(9)-0.9
Everywhere else10.5(15)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-7.5
Dry games10.5(23)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.