AFL
PProjectPunt
Ben Long
Ben Long
Gold Coast · @ CAR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
19% (3/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.3
L5
0.8
L10
0.5
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GEEMar 060WCEMar 150RICMar 210MELApr 050SYDApr 110ESSApr 180HAWApr 250GWSMay 030STKMay 090NORMay 231BRIJun 060GEEJun 123HAWJun 191FREJun 280COLJul 040WBDJul 19?CARJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben11.1
CAR363.6
Kicks
Ben6.7
CAR210.2
Marks
Ben3.2
CAR89.8
Tackles
Ben2.3
CAR59.8
Clearances
Ben0.5
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Ben2.7
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Ben4.8
CAR127.7
Goals
Ben1.4
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.3(9)-0.2
Everywhere else0.5(48)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(3)+1.6
Dry games0.4(54)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.