P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Ben Long
Ben Long
Gold Coast · vs MEL
11.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.1
L5
10.6
L10
10.8
High
20
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
14GEEMar 069WCEMar 1512RICMar 218MELApr 0514SYDApr 1112ESSApr 1811HAWApr 2510GWSMay 039STKMay 0912NORMay 2313BRIJun 066GEEJun 1220HAWJun 197FREJun 2812COLJul 048WBDJul 19?MELAug 0211.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (30%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben11.1
MEL382.0
Kicks
Ben6.7
MEL220.8
Marks
Ben3.2
MEL101.2
Tackles
Ben2.3
MEL51.0
Clearances
Ben0.5
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Ben2.7
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Ben4.8
MEL129.3
Goals
Ben1.4
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara11.6(29)+1.2
Everywhere else10.3(43)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)9.3(3)-1.6
Dry games10.9(69)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.