Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Ben Long

Gold Coast · @ CAR

11.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

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Avg

11.1

10.6

L10

10.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Benvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

11.1Disposals363.6

6.7Kicks210.2

3.2Marks89.8

2.3Tackles59.8

0.5Clearances35.7

2.7Inside 50s52.9

4.8Contested Poss.127.7

1.4Goals12.8

Disposals

Ben11.1

CAR363.6

Kicks

Ben6.7

CAR210.2

Marks

Ben3.2

CAR89.8

Tackles

Ben2.3

CAR59.8

Clearances

Ben0.5

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Ben2.7

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Ben4.8

CAR127.7

Goals

Ben1.4

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Disposals

363.6per game · league avg 369.3

#11 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands11.4(9)+0.9

Everywhere else10.5(48)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)9.3(3)-1.4

Dry games10.8(54)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.