Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Ben King

Gold Coast · vs MEL

2.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

2.7

1.4

L10

2.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Benvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

7.4Disposals382.0

5.5Kicks220.8

3.6Marks101.2

0.4Tackles51.0

0.1Clearances35.6

0.9Inside 50s52.3

3.2Contested Poss.129.3

2.7Goals13.1

Disposals

Ben7.4

MEL382.0

Kicks

Ben5.5

MEL220.8

Marks

Ben3.6

MEL101.2

Tackles

Ben0.4

MEL51.0

Clearances

Ben0.1

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Ben0.9

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Ben3.2

MEL129.3

Goals

Ben2.7

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Goals

13.1per game · league avg 12.7

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goals

At Carrara2.4(56)+0.3

Everywhere else2.1(82)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(7)-0.8

Dry games2.2(131)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.