P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Bailey Humphrey
Bailey Humphrey
Gold Coast · vs MEL
0.5 FFO —U —
Hit rate
67% (10/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.6
L10
0.6
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GEEMar 062RICMar 211ESSApr 181HAWApr 251GWSMay 031STKMay 090PORMay 151NORMay 230BRIJun 061GEEJun 120HAWJun 191FREJun 282COLJul 040ADEJul 110WBDJul 19?MELAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey12.7
MEL382.0
Kicks
Bailey7.2
MEL220.8
Marks
Bailey2.8
MEL101.2
Tackles
Bailey3.2
MEL51.0
Clearances
Bailey0.9
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey3.6
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Bailey5.5
MEL129.3
Goals
Bailey0.9
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Frees For

17.1per game · league avg 19.0
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Carrara0.8(31)+0.3
Everywhere else0.6(47)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(3)+0.3
Dry games0.7(75)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.