P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Nick Holman
Nick Holman
Gold Coast · vs MEL
11.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.0
L5
10.0
L10
11.0
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
16PORMay 156NORMay 2311HAWJun 1915FREJun 2810COLJul 048ADEJul 11?MELAug 0211.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (30%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick11.0
MEL382.0
Kicks
Nick4.3
MEL220.8
Marks
Nick2.3
MEL101.2
Tackles
Nick2.3
MEL51.0
Clearances
Nick1.0
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Nick1.3
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Nick4.8
MEL129.3
Goals
Nick0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara12.4(50)+1.6
Everywhere else10.8(72)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)14.0(8)+2.7
Dry games11.3(114)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.