P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Alex Davies
Alex Davies
Gold Coast · vs MEL
10.5 HBO U
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.8
L5
10.6
L10
10.8
High
18
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12GEEMar 0618WCEMar 1510RICMar 218SYDApr 1113GWSMay 034STKMay 09?MELAug 0210.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:1516.5°C1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Alex16.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Alex5.3
MEL220.8
Marks
Alex1.0
MEL101.2
Tackles
Alex4.5
MEL51.0
Clearances
Alex2.5
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Alex2.8
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Alex8.7
MEL129.3
Goals
Alex0.5
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara9.7(16)+2.4
Everywhere else7.3(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)-4.2
Dry games8.2(45)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.