P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Alex Davies
Alex Davies
Gold Coast · vs MEL
16.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
enter odds to compare
Avg
16.2
L5
16.0
L10
16.2
High
25
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
17GEEMar 0625WCEMar 1518RICMar 2111SYDApr 1117GWSMay 039STKMay 09?MELAug 0216.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL
Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (30%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Alex16.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Alex5.3
MEL220.8
Marks
Alex1.0
MEL101.2
Tackles
Alex4.5
MEL51.0
Clearances
Alex2.5
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Alex2.8
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Alex8.7
MEL129.3
Goals
Alex0.5
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara15.4(16)+2.5
Everywhere else13.0(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)-3.9
Dry games13.9(45)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.