AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Collins
Sam Collins
Gold Coast · @ CAR
6.5 MKO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.6
L5
6.4
L10
6.7
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GEEMar 064WCEMar 1510RICMar 215MELApr 054SYDApr 1110ESSApr 183HAWApr 257GWSMay 036STKMay 097PORMay 159NORMay 235BRIJun 068GEEJun 129HAWJun 193FREJun 285COLJul 045ADEJul 1110WBDJul 19?CARJul 256.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam14.6
CAR363.6
Kicks
Sam7.6
CAR210.2
Marks
Sam6.6
CAR89.8
Tackles
Sam1.2
CAR59.8
Clearances
Sam0.2
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Sam0.3
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Sam6.1
CAR127.7
Goals
Sam0.0
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Marks

89.8per game · league avg 93.0
#11 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands6.3(8)+0.8
Everywhere else5.5(55)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(3)+0.5
Dry games5.5(60)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.