Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Charlie Ballard

Gold Coast · vs MEL

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

67% (4/6)

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Avg

3.5

3.2

L10

3.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Charlievs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

9.2Disposals382.0

5.7Kicks220.8

3.8Marks101.2

0.7Tackles51.0

0.2Clearances35.6

0.2Inside 50s52.3

2.8Contested Poss.129.3

0.0Goals13.1

Disposals

Charlie9.2

MEL382.0

Kicks

Charlie5.7

MEL220.8

Marks

Charlie3.8

MEL101.2

Tackles

Charlie0.7

MEL51.0

Clearances

Charlie0.2

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Charlie0.2

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Charlie2.8

MEL129.3

Goals

Charlie0.0

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara3.2(50)+0.2

Everywhere else3.0(79)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.2(6)+0.1

Dry games3.1(123)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.