P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · @ ESS
2.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.7
L5
2.8
L10
2.9
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GEEMar 262CARApr 092STKApr 182NORMay 16☂6HAWMay 212GEEJun 043WBDJun 115MELJun 202PORJun 273WCEJul 031GCSJul 113SYDJul 17?ESSAug 022.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke8.2
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke3.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke5.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.3(3)+0.2
Everywhere else2.2(40)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(3)+0.9
Dry games2.1(40)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.