AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · vs COL
3.5 MKO U
Hit rate
33% (4/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.0
L5
4.6
L10
3.2
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GEEMar 262CARApr 092STKApr 181NORMay 160HAWMay 210GEEJun 046WBDJun 119MELJun 202PORJun 276WCEJul 035GCSJul 111SYDJul 17?COLJul 233.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
COL389.3
Kicks
Luke8.2
COL227.3
Marks
Luke3.0
COL105.6
Tackles
Luke2.7
COL48.4
Clearances
Luke0.8
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Luke5.4
COL128.0
Goals
Luke0.3
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Marks

105.6per game · league avg 93.0
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Adelaide Oval3.9(23)-0.1
Everywhere else4.1(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(3)-3.2
Dry games4.2(36)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.