AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · vs COL
8.5 KIO U
Hit rate
33% (4/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.2
L5
11.6
L10
8.4
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6GEEMar 268CARApr 094STKApr 186NORMay 164HAWMay 214GEEJun 048WBDJun 1113MELJun 207PORJun 2713WCEJul 0312GCSJul 1113SYDJul 17?COLJul 238.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
COL389.3
Kicks
Luke8.2
COL227.3
Marks
Luke3.0
COL105.6
Tackles
Luke2.7
COL48.4
Clearances
Luke0.8
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Luke5.4
COL128.0
Goals
Luke0.3
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Adelaide Oval8.6(23)+0.2
Everywhere else8.4(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(3)-1.6
Dry games8.6(36)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.