AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · vs COL
6.5 HBO U
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.8
L5
6.4
L10
6.5
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4GEEMar 2612CARApr 092STKApr 185NORMay 1611HAWMay 216GEEJun 049WBDJun 119MELJun 207PORJun 273WCEJul 035GCSJul 118SYDJul 17?COLJul 236.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
COL389.3
Kicks
Luke8.2
COL227.3
Marks
Luke3.0
COL105.6
Tackles
Luke2.7
COL48.4
Clearances
Luke0.8
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Luke5.4
COL128.0
Goals
Luke0.3
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Handballs

162.1per game · league avg 155.5
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Adelaide Oval7.2(23)+0.4
Everywhere else6.8(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.3(3)+0.3
Dry games7.0(36)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.