P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GAO —U —
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.2
L5
0.2
L10
0.2
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GEEMar 260CARApr 090STKApr 180NORMay 16☂0HAWMay 210GEEJun 041WBDJun 110MELJun 200PORJun 270WCEJul 031GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke8.2
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke3.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke5.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.7(3)+0.4
Everywhere else0.2(40)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)+0.1
Dry games0.3(40)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.