P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · @ ESS
14.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
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Avg
14.9
L5
18.0
L10
14.9
High
22
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
10GEEMar 2620CARApr 096STKApr 1811NORMay 16☂15HAWMay 2110GEEJun 0417WBDJun 1122MELJun 2014PORJun 2716WCEJul 0317GCSJul 1121SYDJul 17?ESSAug 0214.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke8.2
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke3.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke5.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands15.7(3)+0.3
Everywhere else15.3(40)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(3)-1.1
Dry games15.4(40)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.