Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Noah Anderson

Gold Coast · vs MEL

11.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

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Avg

11.1

13.6

L10

11.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Noahvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

27.8Disposals382.0

16.6Kicks220.8

5.1Marks101.2

3.4Tackles51.0

5.2Clearances35.6

4.9Inside 50s52.3

9.3Contested Poss.129.3

0.3Goals13.1

Disposals

Noah27.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Noah16.6

MEL220.8

Marks

Noah5.1

MEL101.2

Tackles

Noah3.4

MEL51.0

Clearances

Noah5.2

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Noah4.9

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Noah9.3

MEL129.3

Goals

Noah0.3

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara11.8(59)+1.5

Everywhere else10.3(87)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)8.3(6)-2.7

Dry games11.0(140)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.